Oaks Day 2014: The ones to watch

admin | 杭州桑拿
4 Dec 2018

Wizard of Odds: Live Odds, Form and Alerts for all Racing

The Wakeful Stakes is the definitive Oaks guide with nine fillies completing the double in the past 20 years, the most recent being Kirramosa last year.

Her trainer John Sargent is out to repeat the dose on Thursday with last Saturday’s Wakeful winner Thunder Lady.

Usually the winner will have raced in the Wakeful or Cox Plate, the one exception in the past 20 years being Robert Smerdon-trained Mosheen who came off a sixth in the Myer Classic (1600 metres) to trounce her Oaks rivals in 2011.

Stablemate Lumosty also comes off a 1600 metres run when she won easily won at group 2 level at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day.

Interestingly both Mosheen and Lumosty were sired by Fastnet Rock.

Traditionally the Oaks is a favourites race with eight of the past 11 top fancies winning, the most recent Kirramosa at $2.80 last year.

But there is no standout this year, with the Oaks shaping as the most open since Zarita started $5 favourite in 2007 and ran eighth to Arapaho Miss.

Not surprisingly Damien Oliver with three wins is the most successful Oaks jockeys in Thursday’s race but he is a riding a longshot in Game Of Fame.

Barriers can be significant because of the short run to the first turn.

Before Dear Demi won from 12 in 2012 and Kirramosa won from 10, there were six successive winners from single barriers.



Challenging straight race to kick off the Quaddie that carries a $250,000 jackpot.

Some high-class sprinting mares clash with Miracles Of Life (No. 1), Gregers (No. 2), Shamal Wind (No. 4), Bounding (No. 5) and Vain Queen (No. 15) all strong winning chances.

Shamal Wind finds it hard to win because she has a short, sharp sprint that has to be timed to perfection but the promised hot pace suits her.

Miracles Of Life was very brave winning on her return at Caulfield but has 59 kilograms, Gregers has been freshened, Bounding is back to mares class after tackling the group 1 Manikato while Vain Queen is a straight specialist who has been saved for this race.

My numbers:  1, 2, 4, 5, 15


Another straight race deep in depth.

Concentrate on Straight Gold (No. 4), luckless at Moonee Valley and proven down the straight in Hong Kong and Rifleman (No. 17), freshened for the return to his pet trip of 1000 metres.

The other main chances are Angels Beach (No. 16) is racing well  and is a straight track winner here while Sydney visitor Atmospherical (No. 15)  is a lightly raced mare with a good strike rate who is taking on open company rather than the mares-only Mumm Stakes.

My numbers:  4, 15, 16, 17


An open Oaks with each-way odds the field in early markets.

Trainer Robert Smerdon holds the key with three runners Fontein Ruby (No. 1), Crafty (No. 3) and Lumosty (No. 4).

After Fontein Ruby’s battling effort last Saturday, his best chances are Lumosty, who is the class runner, and Crafty, who shapes as the superior stayer.

If the pace is muddling Lumosty, who  will race handy, is best placed, if it’s a truly run Oaks Crafty will be storming home.

My numbers:  3, 4


With a strong pace seemingly assured Red Inca (No. 7) is poised to end a winning drought of almost two years since he won at Flemington in January 2013.

His last-start fast-finishing third in the Sale Cup is excellent form for this country cup.

Fifth home in the Sale Cup was the unlucky Sysmo who ran second on cup day.

His main danger could be Sadaqa (No. 9), an on pacer who drops 4.5 kilograms on a  brave run at Geelong .

My numbers: 7

For a $20 outlay you would receive 50 per cent of a $1 dividend.

The ultimate racing guide with the latest information on fields, form, tips, market fluctuations and odds, available on mobile, tablet and desktop.

Comments are closed.