Oaks Day 2014: five best bets

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4 Dec 2018

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Flemington Race 1 No.6 TEAR GAS

Tear Gas is a lightly raced mare who looks ideally placed.

She is a backmarker who ran on well when resuming at Geelong on cup day, when it is always hard to make ground early in the day.

Last preparation she won second up at 1700 metres at Sandown – the same scenario as on Thursday.

Jockey Chad Schofield just needs to be able to slot into the running line from a wide draw and she will be powering home.

Suggested bet:  Tear Gas to win  

Flemington Race 4 No.6 SPECTER

The greys race has become a permanent Oaks Day fixture, with repeat runners often to the fore.

Specter was well fancied in this race two years ago but was checked in the straight.

His strike rate of two wins from 22 starts is not flattering, but he has an excellent second-up record and found the soft track against him when resuming at Moe.

Suggested bet: Specter each way    

Flemington Race 7 No.4 STRAIGHT GOLD

Straight racing is a specialist craft and Straight Gold’s stats make a compelling case for the gelding.

The former Hong Kong galloper raced seven times down the famous Sha Tin straight for a win and four seconds, two in group class.

He went to the line hard behind a wall of horses last start at Moonee Valley and can score his first Australian win since a Canterbury success in his early days with the Hawkes team.

Suggested bet:  Straight Gold each way  

Flemington Race 8 No.4 LUMOSTY

This is a strong edition of the Oaks, with at least six genuine chances, and trainer Robert Smerdon has two of them in Crafty and Lumosty.

Crafty is a backmarker who will be strong at the end of the 2500 metres, while Lumosty has a class edge that might be the key.

Lumosty can make her own luck on pace, as she showed with an effortless win on Cox Plate day when fitted with blinkers for the first time.

She lost all chance at the start when favourite in the Thousand Guineas and can atone in the Oaks.

Suggested bet: Lumosty to win  

CROWN RESORTS PLATE

Flemington Race 9 No.7 RED INCA

The speed map suggests there will be plenty of pace on in the final race and that suits backmarker Red Inca.

Last start he powered home in a strong edition of the Sale Cup, after being forced to change course in the straight.

A Flemington 1410-metre winner as a three-year-old, the gelding seems to be returning to that form.

He ran a close 1800-metre third to Multilateral at the Cup carnival last year after running sixth in the Sale Cup and can break through here.

Suggested bet: Red Inca to win.

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